PSC 200: Applied Data Analysis
(Fall 2007)
Announcements
Course Material
Syllabus
Exams
Review for Exam
1: Monday, October 22, In Class
Date of Exam 1: Wednesday, October 24, 7:30-9:30 in Gavett 244
Practice Question for Exam #1 (with solutions)
Review for Exam 2: Monday, December 10, In Class
Date of Exam 2: Wednesday, December 12, 7:30-9:30 in Gavett
244
Practice Question for Exam #2 (with solutions) (Typos Corrected)
Lecture Notes
Note Set 1 (Course
Overview)
Note Set 2 (Descriptive Statistics)
Note Set 3 (Discrete Probability Distributions)
Note Set 4 (Continuous Probability Distributions)
Note Set 5 (Estimation)
Note Set 6 (Inference: Means)
Note Set 7 (Inference: Proportions)
Note Set 8 (Inference: Differences in
Means)
Note Set 9 (Inference: Differences in
Proportions)
Note Set 10 (Inference: Additional
Topics)
Note Set R1 (Review for First Exam)
Note Set 11 (Surveys)
Note Set 12 (Correlation and
Bivariate Regression)
Note Set 13 (Multiple Regression:
Estimation)
Note Set 14 (Multiple Regression:
Specification)
Note Set 15 (Indicator Variables and
Analysis of Variance)
Note Set 16 (Functional Form and
Interactions)
Note Set R2 (Review for Second
Exam)
Homework
Assignments
Assignment 1 (Assigned Sept. 17, Due Sept. 24)
Assignment 1 Solutions
Assignment 2 (Assigned Oct.
1, Due Oct. 10)
Assignment 2 Solutions
Assignment 3 (Assigned Oct.
10, Due Oct. 17)
Assignment 3 Solutions
Assignment 4 (Assigned Nov. 7, Due Nov. 14)
Assignment 4 Solutions
Assignment 5 (Assigned Nov.
26, Due Dec. 3)
Assignment 5 Solutions
Assignment 6 (Assigned Dec.
3, Due Dec. 10)
Assignment 6 Solutions
Why are American Presidential Election Campaign
Polls so Variable When Voters Are so Predictable? (Discussion on Monday, Sept.
10)
Congressional
Leaders 1965-96: A New Look at the Extremism Versus Centrality Debate (Discussion on Monday, Sept. 17)
Chapter 2 of Erikson and Tedin (required reading to coincide with Note Set
11)
Experiments
with the Middle Response Alternative (Discussed, but not required reading)
Political Information
Processing (Discussed, but not required reading)
Likely and Unlikely Voters (Discussed,
but not required reading)
Internet Surveys (Discussed,
but not required reading)
Mystery
Pollster – Likely Voters FAQ
Mystery
Pollster – Weighting by Party
Internet Surveys (Discussed,
but not required reading)
Chapter 7 from Pollock (required reading to coincide with Note Set
16)
Data Sets
American National Election Studies (2004)
Gallup Time Series of Presidential Approval
Washington Post / ABC News Pre-election Poll (Sept.
2004)
Homes in Shadyside Pittsburgh
U.S. Senate Races (1988-1992)
Candidate Positioning in the U.S. House (2000)
The Montana House of Representatives (2005 and
2007 sessions)
Weekly Stock Returns
Direct Democracy and Voter Turnout
Legislative Productivity
Israeli Election Study (2001)
CBS/NY Times Pre-election Poll (Oct. 2004)
Wages Data Set
Condominiums in Boston (some of the data)
Condominiums in Boston (all of the data)
Predicting Presidential Elections
Predicting the Occurrence of Civil Wars
American National Election Studies (1992)
U.S. Senate Races Expanded (1980-2000)
Diamonds Data
General Social Survey (1996)
Miscellaneous
Excel Spreadsheet for Quick Calculations
Table of the Normal Distribution